Summary and High Confidence Player Prop Projections for Jan 31, 2026

Summary and High Confidence Projections for Jan 31, 2026

1. San Antonio Spurs at Charlotte Hornets - 12:00 PM ET

The Spurs, the second-best team in the Western Conference, are on a 1-game win streak (W1) despite a recent 8-game losing streak that stalled their momentum. Charlotte, meanwhile, is in the worst slump of the season, dropping 5 of their last 6 before a 5-game winning streak that has them sitting in the middle of the pack—though they’re still 11.5 games back and playing solid defense.

San Antonio’s efficiency (48.7% FG, 38.2% from 3) and elite offensive rebounding (12.6 per game) will be a challenge, but the Hornets’ hot shooting (51.5% FG as a team) and high UOR (Usage on the Road) of 27.4% could make this a close, high-scoring game.

Notable Injuries: Josh Green (D2D - Achilles)

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs):

Expect 12+ points, 6+ rebounds.

13+ points, 5+ assists (85% confidence).

1+ steal, 1+ 3PM.

23.9 PTS+REB+AST (95% confidence).

Stephon Castle (Spurs):

Expect 8+ points, 4+ rebounds, 4+ assists.

1+ 3PM, 1+ steal.

19.2 PTS+REB (HIGH confidence).

LaMelo Ball (Hornets):

Expect 15+ points, 7+ assists, 3+ rebounds.

2+ 3PM, 1+ steal.

30.6 PTS+AST (95% confidence).

Miles Bridges (Hornets):

Expect 12+ points, 5+ rebounds, 3+ assists.

2+ 3PM.

11.9 REB+AST (HIGH confidence).

Julian Champagnie (Spurs):

Expect 8+ points, 6+ rebounds, 1+ assist.

1+ 3PM.

Dylan Harper (Spurs):

Expect 6+ points, 2+ rebounds, 3+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

Harrison Barnes (Spurs):

Expect 7+ points, 4+ rebounds, 1+ assist.

1+ 3PM.

2. Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers - 7:00 PM ET

Notable Injuries: Jalen Johnson (D2D - calf, questionable)

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks):

Expect 12+ points, 4+ rebounds, 2+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

Dyson Daniels (Hawks):

Expect 8+ points, 5+ rebounds, 5+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

Jalen Johnson (Hawks):

Expect 15+ points, 5+ rebounds, 7+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

Jay Huff (Pacers):

Expect 1+ block.

3. New Orleans Pelicans at Philadelphia 76ers - 7:30 PM ET

The Pelicans, fresh off a home sweep against Memphis, are the 6th worst offensive team (107.9 PPG) in the league, and their struggles at the rim (52.4% FG) will be on full display against a 76ers defense that ranks 9th in FG% at the rim (59.6%).

Philadelphia, meanwhile, is riding a 2-game win streak and playing elite defense (108.3 DRPG, 3rd best in the league).

Notable Injuries: None

Herbert Jones (Pelicans):

Expect 8+ points, 4+ rebounds, 1+ assist.

1+ steal.

Saddiq Bey (Pelicans):

Expect 11+ points, 5+ rebounds, 3+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

VJ Edgecombe (76ers):

Expect 5+ assists, 6+ rebounds, 1+ 3PM.

13+ points (if he gets to the line).

Jose Alvarado (Pelicans):

Expect 1+ assist, 1+ 3PM.

Hunter Dickinson (Pelicans):

Expect 1+ block.

Charles Bassey (76ers):

Expect 4+ rebounds.

4. Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat - 8:00 PM ET

The Heat, 1-1 in their last 3 games, have been elite with Tyler Herro out (26-24 record). Miami’s offense is 6th best in the league (116.2 PPG), but losing their top scorer and elite playmaker is a blow.

The Bulls bring high defensive pressure (8th in STL rate, 7.7 SPG) and face Miami’s offensive rebound-heavy lineups (11.4% OReb rate).

Notable Injuries: Tre Jones (OUT - hamstring), Tyler Herro (OUT - ribs), Josh Giddey (D2D - hamstring)

Zach Collins (Bulls):

Expect 7+ points, 5+ rebounds, 2+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

Bam Adebayo (Heat):

Expect 16+ points, 6+ rebounds, 4+ assists.

1+ steal, 1+ block.

Ayo Dosunmu (Bulls):

Expect 3+ assists, 1+ 3PM.

Josh Giddey (Bulls):

Expect 8+ points, 4+ rebounds, 3+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

Matas Buzelis (Bulls):

Expect 8+ points, 4+ rebounds, 1+ 3PM.

5. Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies - 8:00 PM ET

Minnesota is the 2nd best team in the league (30-19), and Memphis has shown grit in back-to-back losses—fighting back in the 4th quarter (56.8% FG in the final 5 minutes). Both teams are top-tier rebounders.

Notable Injuries: Santi Aldama (questionable - knee), Ty Jerome (OUT - calf)

Rudy Gobert (Wolves):

Expect 8+ points, 7+ rebounds, 1+ assist.

1+ block.

Donte DiVincenzo (Wolves):

Expect 8+ points, 4+ rebounds, 2+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

Anthony Edwards (Wolves):

Expect 15+ points, 4+ rebounds, 3+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

Jaren Jackson Jr. (Grizzlies):

Expect 15+ points, 7+ rebounds.

1+ steal, 1+ assist.

6. Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets - 8:30 PM ET

Houston is the 3rd best team in the league (29-17), and their rock-solid defense (108.3 DRPG) has them high in the West. The loss of Steven Adams and Anthony Davis is massive, but Houston has rebounded well.

Notable Injuries: Steven Adams (OUT - ankle surgery), Anthony Davis (OUT - finger)

Kevin Durant (Rockets):

Expect 25+ points, 8+ rebounds, 5+ assists.

1+ 3PM.

Tari Eason (Rockets):

Expect 11+ points, 4+ rebounds, 2+ assists.

1+ steal.

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks):

Expect 12+ points, 4+ assists, 3+ rebounds.

1+ 3PM.

Daniel Gafford (Mavs):

Expect 3+ rebounds.

Moussa Cisse (Mavs):

Expect 1+ block.

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