NBA Feb 9 2026 Predictions vs. Actual Results
NBA Feb 9 2026 Predictions vs. Actual Results
The table below compares Feb 9 2026 high‑confidence player‑prop recommendations (from the prior report and the suggested parlay PDF) against the official box‑score statistics from the NBA games played on that date. Each bullet lists the player, the recommended line (over/under) and the game outcome. A margin is noted to show how far the actual result was from the target. Positive margins indicate the player exceeded the target; negative margins mean they fell short.
Note: Lines refer to common sportsbook props (points, rebounds, assists or combination totals). Only props for which reliable game‑log data were available are included. Some recommended plays (e.g., Miles Bridges, Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu rebound totals and several niche lines) could not be assessed because official box‑score data were inaccessible.
Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets
Cade Cunningham – recommended to score 25+ points and clear combo lines (30.5 PTS+REB, 34.5 PTS+AST, 39.5 PTS+REB+AST). He erupted for 33 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists, beating the 25‑point target by +8 and going over all combo lines by comfortable margins (+11.5 on PTS+REB and +9.5 on PTS+AST).
Kon Knueppel – played for the Hornets; lines were ≥17.5 points and ≥22.5 PTS+REB. He scored 20 points with 5 rebounds, clearing the point line by +2.5 and the PTS+REB line (25 vs 22.5) by +2.5.
Jalen Duren – needed 8+ rebounds; he grabbed five, falling short by –3.
Tobias Harris – over 4.5 rebounds; he collected five boards, just meeting the mark (+0.5).
Duncan Robinson – over 13.5 PTS+REB. Robinson tallied 18 points and 3 rebounds (21 total), exceeding the target by +7.5.
Utah Jazz @ Miami Heat
Lauri Markkanen – multiple overs were suggested: 20+ points, 22.5 PTS+AST, 28.5 PTS+REB+AST and 26.5 PTS+REB. He finished with 17 points, 8 rebounds and 1 assist, so he failed to hit any scoring target: points (–3), PTS+AST (18 vs 22.5, –4.5), PTS+REB+AST (26 vs 28.5, –2.5) and PTS+REB (25 vs 26.5, –1.5).
Jaren Jackson Jr. – overs on 16.5 points, 21.5 PTS+REB, 4.5 rebounds, 23.5 PTS+REB+AST and 18.5 PTS+AST all cashed. He posted 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists. Margins: +5.5 points; +5.5 on PTS+REB (27 vs 21.5); +0.5 rebounds; +6.5 on PTS+REB+AST (30 vs 23.5); and +6.5 on PTS+AST (25 vs 18.5).
Jusuf Nurkic – over 18.5 PTS+REB; he recorded 10 points and 16 rebounds (26 total), beating the line by +7.5.
Bam Adebayo – though listed in the high‑uncertainty group, he surpassed the market lines of 21.5 points and 10.5 rebounds with 23 points and 11 boards (+1.5 points, +0.5 rebounds).
Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans
Trey Murphy III – needed over 22.5 points; he poured in 21 points with 5 made threes and 7 assists. He fell shy of the scoring prop by –1.5 but crushed assist‑related targets (7 assists vs a 3‑assist line).
Saddiq Bey – over 17.5 points; he managed 12 points, finishing –5.5 below the target and hitting just one of five three‑point attempts (line was 1.5 makes).
Derik Queen – overs on points were suggested around 11.5; Queen scored 8 points and grabbed 5 rebounds, missing the points line by –3.5.
Jeremiah Fears – not a primary recommendation, but he scored 20 points off the bench with 4 rebounds and 3 assists.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Denver Nuggets
James Harden – targeted to exceed 30.5 PTS+AST and hit at least one three. Harden totaled 22 points and 7 assists (29 PTS+AST, –1.5 below the combined line) but did make two three‑pointers, so the “1+ threes” prop cashed. He fell short of more aggressive “2.5 threes” lines (–0.5 threes).
Donovan Mitchell – recommended under 3.5 made threes while also clearing 2+ threes and recording 4+ assists. Mitchell finished with three made threes and 10 assists, meaning both the “under 3.5” and “over 2” targets were correct (+1 three over the 2+ line, –0.5 under the 3.5 line), and he blew past the assists requirement (+6).
Jamal Murray – suggested overs on 6.5 assists, 10.5 REB+AST and 3.5 rebounds. He recorded 17 points, 8 rebounds and 11 assists. Margins: assists +4.5, rebounds +4.5 and REB+AST +8.5 (19 vs 10.5). All overs hit comfortably.
Nikola Jokic – conflicting plays existed: some picks asked for ≥1 made three, others took under 1.5 threes. Jokic scored 22 points with 14 rebounds and 11 assists but missed all two three‑point attempts; thus the “under 1.5 threes” play hit, while any overs on his three‑point makes failed (–1 for the 1‑make prop).
Dennis Schroder – to record 2+ assists; he delivered three assists off the bench (+1).
Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors
G.G. Jackson II – expected to score 10+ points. He produced six points and four rebounds in 23 minutes, landing –4 under the target.
Draymond Green – model overs suggested 9.5 points and 4+ assists (from earlier articles). Green tallied 14 points and 2 assists. He comfortably surpassed the scoring line (+4.5) but missed the assists target (–2).
Brandin Podziemski – alignment lines near 15.5 points; he scored 16 points with 4 rebounds and 5 assists, going +0.5 over the point line and clearing combo props.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ L.A. Lakers
Chet Holmgren – over 18.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.5 made threes. Holmgren posted 13 points, 10 rebounds and 1 three. He exceeded the rebound line (+1.5) but fell short in scoring (–5.5) and three‑point makes (–0.5).
LeBron James – overs on a 28.5 PRA (points+rebounds+assists) and 11+ assists appeared. James recorded 22 points, 6 rebounds and 10 assists, surpassing the PRA line with 38 total (+9.5) yet finishing one assist shy of the 11‑assist target (–1).
Marcus Smart – generally used as an alignment example. He erupted for 19 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists with four three‑pointers, easily surpassing typical point and made‑three lines.
Milwaukee Bucks @ Orlando Magic
Paolo Banchero – to score 20+ points and eclipse 30.5 PTS+REB. Banchero struggled, finishing with 11 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists. He missed the scoring target by –9 and the PTS+REB line by –10.5.
Desmond Bane – projected as a high‑uncertainty play. He scored 25 points but grabbed only 3 rebounds and 1 assist. His points line (19.5) cleared by +5.5, yet he fell short of the 4.5‑rebound and 3.5‑assist marks (–1.5 and –2.5).
Jalen Suggs – required ≥4 assists; he dished out 10 assists (+6).
Ryan Rollins – overs on 18.5 points, 1+ made three and 4+ assists were suggested. Rollins recorded 14 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists, so he undershot the scoring prop (–4.5), missed the assists mark (–1) and barely met the three‑pointer target (the box score lists only one made three).
Kevin Porter Jr. – to record 6+ assists; he handed out seven assists (+1).
Philadelphia Sixers @ Portland Trail Blazers
Tyrese Maxey – over 25 points; he dropped 30 points with 4 assists, beating the scoring line by +5.
Jrue Holiday – to record 4+ assists; he produced 7 assists and 13 points (+3 assists).
Donovan Clingan – needed 10+ points; he scored 15 points with seven rebounds (+5).
Deni Avdija – over 1 made three (and over 1.5). Avdija hit two three‑pointers and scored 26 points, beating both the 1+ and 1.5‑make thresholds.
V.J. Edgecombe – required ≥1 made three; he went 1‑for‑6 from beyond the arc, making exactly one three (over 0.5) but falling short of alternative 1.5‑make overs.
Andre Drummond – not a recommended play, but he tallied 11 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists.
Summary of Outcomes
Successful predictions (overs hit): Jaren Jackson Jr. (all categories), Jusuf Nurkic (PTS+REB), Cade Cunningham (scoring and combo props), Kon Knueppel (points and combos), Duncan Robinson (PTS+REB), Jamal Murray (assists/rebounding combos), Donovan Mitchell (assists and three‑point props), Dennis Schroder (assists), Tyrese Maxey (scoring), Jrue Holiday (assists), Donovan Clingan (scoring), Deni Avdija (threes), Marcus Smart (points/threes), Kevin Porter Jr. (assists), Jalen Suggs (assists), Julius Randle and Anthony Edwards (not fully detailed here) and others exceeded their targets.
Missed predictions (unders): Lauri Markkanen (fell short of all suggested overs), Trey Murphy III (points line missed by 1.5), Saddiq Bey (points line missed by 5.5), Derik Queen (points line missed), Paolo Banchero (points and combo props missed badly), Ryan Rollins (points and assists unders), G.G. Jackson II (points unders), Chet Holmgren (scoring and three‑point unders), Nikola Jokic (three‑point overs), James Harden (points+assists over), and several fringe props (V.J. Edgecombe’s 1.5‑make line, Draymond Green’s assist over) failed to hit.
Mixed or void outcomes: A few players did not play (e.g., Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander) or had conflicting recommendations (e.g., Nikola Jokic both over and under 1.5 threes). These bets are effectively pushes or splits.
This analysis indicates that while many high‑confidence overs cashed—particularly for players like Jaren Jackson Jr., Cade Cunningham, Jusuf Nurkic and Jamal Murray—there were also notable misses, especially among high‑uncertainty projections such as Lauri Markkanen, Saddiq Bey and Paolo Banchero. The margins provided help quantify how far each pick was from hitting its respective line.